NBA: Top Weekend Power Trends

NBA: Top Weekend Power Trends

While college & pro football garner all the sports headlines, and college hoops picks up steam with big non-conference action nearly everyday, the NBA keeps chugging along.


2008-12-05

While college & pro football garner all the sports headlines, and college hoops picks up steam with big non-conference action nearly everyday, the NBA keeps chugging along. On this weekend's slate are several key games among frontrunners. Read on as we take a look at the pro action on the hardwood for the weekend, offering up some top StatFox Power Trends for your consideration and even a Best Bet for one of Saturday's games.

The Friday NBA board boasts 11 games, highlighted by the ESPN doubleheader. In the first game, division leaders Boston and Portland get together in Beantown. Both teams are red-hot, as the Celtics have won 10 straight games and the Blazers, six in a row. Oddsmakers don't give Portland much of a shot however, installing the hosts as 8-point favorites. In the nightcap, Toronto heads to Utah, looking to snap a 4-game losing streak in the head-to-head series. The Raptors have dropped their last six games ATS, falling to 6-11 ATS for the season. The Jazz have struggled to find consistency this season but remain in the hunt in the Northwest Division, just two games back of Portland. Elsewhere on Friday, two of the other top teams in the Eastern Conference play host to opponents, both as double-digit favorites. Cleveland, unbeaten at home, welcomes Indiana to town, and Orlando hosts Oklahoma City.

On Saturday, the Western Conference takes center stage as several of the top contenders will host games. New Orleans welcomes Memphis to town. San Antonio hosts Golden State, and don't look now, but the Spurs are starting to get things going again. Dallas is also in action, hosting Atlanta, and Utah and Phoenix go head-to-head in the desert. Back to San Antonio however, take a look at one of the Best Bet writeups from this week's StatFox Platinum Sheet:

12/6/2008 (711) GOLDEN STATE at (712) SAN ANTONIO
San Antonio is starting to get it going of late and has managed to stay in playoff contention by its recent surge. On Saturday, the Spurs will welcome one of the favorite opponents to San Antonio, the Warriors. Besides having won 20 of the last 22 games between these teams in San Antonio, the Spurs have scored 116 PPG in the last four meetings at home. Simply put, the Spurs are virtually unbeatable if they put up those type of point figures on the home court. In fact, over the last two seasons, SAN ANTONIO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when they score 99 to 104 points in a game. The average score was SAN ANTONIO 101.2, OPPONENT 87.5. The early StatFox Game Estimator pegs HC Gregg Poppovich's team for 104. Should be a relatively easy win if so. Play: San Antonio minus the points.

Finally, on Sunday, there are just four games for your consideration, but they are all spread out over the course of 9-1/2 hours, giving you plenty of time to study each one and come up with a winner. The action tips off at 12:05 PM ET, with Detroit visiting New York. The rebuilt Knicks are just 2-7 SU & ATS in their L9 games, but seem to be getting the new puzzle pieces put together slowly but surely. At 1:05 PM, Toronto hosts Portland, as the Blazers wrap up their five game east coast trip. The evening games feature Boston visiting Indiana and Los Angeles hosting Milwaukee. That latter game is interesting in that the Lakers went into the weekend with the league's 2nd best straight up record, while the Bucks held that same position in the ATS ranks.

Now, here's a look at some of the top StatFox Power Trends to consider for this weekend's games…

Friday, 12/05/2008
(501) LA LAKERS vs. (502) WASHINGTON
LA LAKERS are 37-13 ATS (+22.7 Units) vs. poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ PPG over L2 seasons. The average score was LA LAKERS 113.2, OPPONENT 102 - (Rating = 3*)

(507) NEW YORK vs. (508) ATLANTA
Mike D'Antoni is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) vs. excellent 3PT shooting teams (>=39% 3PT Atts.) as a Head Coach. The average score was D'Antoni 104.4, OPPONENT 102 - (Rating = 2*)

(509) INDIANA vs. (510) CLEVELAND
Jim O'Brien is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) vs. top caliber teams outscoring opponents by 9+ PPG as a Head Coach. The average score was O'Brien 86.4, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 2*)

(515) LA CLIPPERS vs. (516) MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS is 23-8 OVER (+14.2 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less over L3 seasons. The average score was MEMPHIS 108.5, OPPONENT 108.2 - (Rating = 2*)

Saturday, 12/06/2008
(703) NEW JERSEY vs. (704) PHILADELPHIA
Maurice Cheeks is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) at home vs. good free throw teams (>=76% FT pct.) as coach of PHILADELPHIA. The average score was Cheeks 92.6, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 2*)

(707) LA CLIPPERS vs. (708) MINNESOTA
Randy Wittman is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) vs. poor foul drawing teams (<=24 FT Atts/g) as coach of MINNESOTA. The average score was Wittman 94.4, OPPONENT 103.3 - (Rating = 2*)

(709) MEMPHIS vs. (710) NEW ORLEANS
Marc Iavaroni is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) vs. marginal winning teams (Win Pct. 51%-60%) as coach of MEMPHIS. The average score was Iavaroni 100.7, OPPONENT 116.3 - (Rating = 4*)

(711) GOLDEN STATE vs. (712) SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over L3 seasons. The average score was SAN ANTONIO 98.3, OPPONENT 87.6 - (Rating = 2*)

Sunday, 12/07/2008
(501) DETROIT vs. (502) NEW YORK
DETROIT is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) vs. teams who attempt 18 or more 3PT shots/game over L2 seasons. The average score was DETROIT 96.5, OPPONENT 90.3 - (Rating = 2*)

(505) BOSTON vs. (506) INDIANA
BOSTON is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over L3 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 96, OPPONENT 98.7 - (Rating = 2*)

(507) MILWAUKEE vs. (508) DETROIT
LA LAKERS are 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA LAKERS 110.6, OPPONENT 97.9 - (Rating = 1*)

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